Fastenal Reports 2012 Fourth Quarter Earnings Up 8.5%

In the report, Fastenal posted a fourth quarter sales gain of 8.5% over the same period in the year prior, with total net sales of 757 million. The company also posted a total of 13.3% sales growth for the entire 2012 fiscal year over the year previous, on net sales of  3.1 billion.

Winona, MN - Fastenal Company reported the results of the quarter and year ended December 31, 2012. Except for per share information, or as otherwise noted below, dollar amounts are stated in thousands. Share and per share information in this document has been adjusted to give effect to the two-for-one split of our common stock in May 2011.

Net sales, pre-tax earnings, net earnings, and net earnings per share were as follows for the periods ended December 31:

 

Twelve-month period

Three-month period

 

2012

2011

Change

2012

2011

Change

Net sales

 $ 3,133,577

2,766,859

13.3%

 $ 757,235

697,804

8.5%

Pre-tax earnings

 $ 674,155

575,081

17.2%

 $ 158,151

140,769

12.3%

 % of sales

21.5%

20.8%

 

20.9%

20.2%

 

Net earnings

 $ 420,536

357,929

17.5%

 $ 98,716

87,472

12.9%

Net earnings per share (basic)

 $ 1.42

1.21

17.4%

 $ 0.33

0.30

10.0%

On a sequential basis in 2012, the first, second, third, and fourth quarters had 64, 64, 63, and 63 business days, respectively; and our daily sales average was $12,014, $12,576, $12,739, and $12,020, respectively.

On December 31, 2012, we had 2,652 stores. During 2012, we opened 80 new stores, an increase of 3.1% since December 2011 (we opened 122 new stores in 2011). On December 31, 2012, we operated 21,095 FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending) machines. During 2012, we installed 13,642 new machines, an increase of 183.0% since December 2011 (we installed 5,528 machines in 2011). On December 31, 2012, we had 15,145 employees, a decrease of 0.2% since December 2011; however, our average full-time equivalent employee number increased by 4.4% from the fourth quarter of 2011 to 2012 (as discussed later in this document).

Similar to previous quarters, we have included comments regarding several aspects of our business:

  1. Monthly sales changes, sequential trends, and end market performance — a recap of our recent sales trends and some insight into the activities with different end markets.
  2. Growth drivers of our business — a recap of how we grow our business.
  3. Profit drivers of our business — a recap of how we increase our profits.
  4. Statement of earnings information — a recap of the components of our income statement.
  5. Operational working capital, balance sheet, and cash flow — a recap of the operational working capital utilized in our business, and the related cash flow.

While reading these items, it is helpful to appreciate several aspects of our marketplace: (1) it's big, the North American marketplace for industrial supplies is estimated to be in excess of $160 billion per year (and we have expanded beyond North America), (2) no company has a significant portion of this market, (3) many of the products we sell are individually inexpensive, (4) when our customer needs something quickly or unexpectedly our local store is a quick source, (5) the cost to manage and procure these products can be significant, and (6) the cost to move these products, many of which are bulky, can also be significant.

Our motto is Growth through Customer Service. This is important given the points noted above. We believe in efficient markets — to us, this means we can grow our market share if we provide the greatest value to the customer. We believe our ability to grow is amplified if we can service our customer at the closest economic point of contact. 

The concept of growth is simple, find more customers every day and increase your activity with them. However, execution is hard work. First, we recruit service minded individuals to support our customers and their business. Second, we operate in a decentralized fashion to help identify the greatest value for our customers. Third, we build a great machine behind the store to operate efficiently and to help identify new business solutions. Fourth, we do these things every day. Finally, we strive to generate strong profits; these profits produce the cash flow necessary to fund the growth and to support the needs of our customers.

MONTHLY SALES CHANGES, SEQUENTIAL TRENDS, AND END MARKET PERFORMANCE

Note — Daily sales are defined as the sales for the period divided by the number of business days (in the United States) in the period. 

This section focuses on three distinct views of our business — monthly sales changes, sequential trends, and end market performance. The first discussion regarding monthly sales changes provides a good mechanical view of our business based on the age of our stores. The second discussion provides a framework for understanding the sequential trends (that is, comparing a period to the immediately preceding period) in our business. Finally, we believe the third discussion regarding end market performance provides insight into activities with our various types of customers.

MONTHLY SALES CHANGES:

All company sales — During the months in 2012, 2011, and 2010, all of our selling locations, when combined, had daily sales growth rates of (compared to the comparable month in the preceding year):

 

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

2012

21.3%

20.0%

19.3%

17.3%

13.1%

14.0%

12.1%

12.0%

12.9%

6.8%

8.2%

9.7%

2011

18.8%

21.5%

22.8%

23.2%

22.6%

22.5%

22.4%

20.0%

18.8%

21.4%

22.2%

21.2%

2010

2.4%

4.4%

12.1%

18.6%

21.1%

21.1%

24.4%

22.1%

23.5%

22.4%

17.9%

20.9%

The growth in the first three and a half months of 2012 generally continued the relative strength we saw in 2011 and in most of 2010. During 2012, there were two distinct economic slowdowns. The first occurred in the late April/May time frame, and then moderated until September. The second occurred in the October/November time frame. This was exaggerated by an unusual business day comparison in October (23 days in 2012 versus 21 days in 2011 - the maintenance portion of our business is often linked to monthly spend patterns, which are not as business day dependent, this can dilute the daily growth picture given the change in business day divisor) and the impact of Hurricane Sandy. The change in currencies in foreign countries (primarily Canada) relative to the United States dollar lowered our daily sales growth rate by 0.1% during 2012 (this lowered our growth in the first, second, and third quarters by 0.1%, 0.4%, 0.2%, respectively and increased our growth in the fourth quarter by 0.2%). This was a sharp contrast to 2011 and 2010, when changes in foreign currencies increased our growth by 0.7% and 0.6%, respectively.

Stores opened greater than two years — Our stores opened greater than two years (store sites opened as follows: 2012 group — opened 2010 and earlier, 2011 group — opened 2009 and earlier, and 2010 group — opened 2008 and earlier) represent a consistent 'same-store' view of our business. During the months in 2012, 2011, and 2010, the stores opened greater than two years had daily sales growth rates of (compared to the comparable month in the preceding year):

 

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

2012

18.8%

17.1%

16.8%

14.5%

10.1%

11.1%

9.1%

8.6%

9.8%

3.8%

5.1%

6.6%

2011

16.0%

18.4%

19.4%

19.6%

19.2%

19.1%

18.7%

16.5%

15.2%

18.0%

18.5%

17.5%

2010

0.6%

2.3%

9.6%

16.3%

18.5%

18.3%

21.3%

19.2%

19.8%

18.8%

14.1%

16.8%

Stores opened greater than five years — The impact of the economy, over time, is best reflected in the growth performance of our stores opened greater than five years (store sites opened as follows: 2012 group — opened 2007 and earlier, 2011 group — opened 2006 and earlier, and 2010 group — opened 2005 and earlier). This group is more cyclical due to the increased market share they enjoy in their local markets. During the months in 2012, 2011, and 2010, the stores opened greater than five years had daily sales growth rates of (compared to the comparable month in the preceding year):

 

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

2012

17.4%

15.8%

15.7%

13.7%

9.0%

10.2%

8.3%

7.9%

8.5%

2.6%

4.6%

5.6%

2011

15.3%

17.9%

19.2%

19.1%

17.9%

18.2%

17.3%

15.2%

14.5%

17.0%

17.4%

16.9%

2010

-2.1%

-0.5%

7.4%

14.9%

17.3%

16.2%

19.8%

18.2%

18.9%

17.9%

13.2%

16.0%

SEQUENTIAL TRENDS:

We find it helpful to think about the monthly sequential changes in our business using the analogy of climbing a stairway — This stairway has several predictable landings where there is a pause in the sequential gain (i.e. April, July, and October to December), but generally speaking, climbs from January to October. The October landing then establishes the benchmark for the start of the next year.

History has identified these landings in our business cycle. They generally relate to months with impaired business days (certain holidays). The first landing centers on Easter, which alternates between March and April (Easter occurred in April in 2012, 2011, and 2010), the second landing centers on July 4th, and the third landing centers on the approach of winter with its seasonal impact on primarily our construction business and with the Christmas / New Year holidays. The holidays we noted impact the trends because they either move from month-to-month or because they move around during the week.

The table below shows the pattern to our sequential change in our daily sales. The line labeled 'Past' is an historical average of our sequential daily sales change for the period 1998 to 2003. We chose this time frame because it had similar characteristics, a weaker industrial economy in North America, and could serve as a benchmark for a possible trend line. The '2012', '2011', and '2010' lines represent our actual sequential daily sales changes. The '12Delta', '11Delta', and '10Delta' lines indicate the difference between the 'Past' and the actual results in the respective year. 

 


Jan.(1)


Feb.


Mar.


Apr.


May


June


July


Aug.


Sept.


Oct.

Cumulative change
from Jan. to Oct.

Past

0.9%

3.3%

2.9%

-0.3%

3.4%

2.8%

-2.3%

2.6%

2.6%

-0.7%

15.9%

2012

-0.3%

0.5%

6.4%

-0.8%

0.5%

2.5%

-2.7%

1.3%

4.3%

-4.8%

7.1%

12Delta

-1.2%

-2.8%

3.5%

-0.5%

-2.9%

-0.3%

-0.4%

-1.3%

1.7%

-4.1%

-8.8%

2011

-0.2%

1.6%

7.0%

0.9%

4.3%

1.7%

-1.0%

1.4%

3.4%

0.7%

21.7%

11Delta

-1.1%

-1.7%

4.1%

1.2%

0.9%

-1.1%

1.3%

-1.2%

0.8%

1.4%

5.8%

2010

2.9%

-0.7%

5.9%

0.6%

4.8%

1.7%

-1.0%

3.5%

4.5%

-1.5%

19.0%

10Delta

2.0%

-4.0%

3.0%

0.9%

1.4%

-1.1%

1.3%

0.9%

1.9%

-0.8%

3.1%

(1)  The January figures represent the percentage change from the previous October, whereas the remaining figures represent the percentage change from the previous month.

A graph of the sequential daily sales change pattern discussed above, starting with a base of '100' in the previous October and ending with the next October, would be as follows: http://media.globenewswire.com/cache/11647/file/17610.pdf

Several observations stand out while viewing the 2012 sequential pattern: (1) The direction of the historical sequential pattern (increased daily sales on a sequential basis in February, March, May, June, August, and September and decreased daily sales on a sequential basis in April and July) has played out each month; however, the cumulative growth in the daily sales from January to October has fallen short of the benchmark figure and of the actual results in 2011 and 2010. (2) The magnitude of the February and May '12Delta' of approximately -2.8% was similar. This fact, as well as the choppiness of the year in general, caused us to approach the year with a conservative tone. (3) The weakness in 2012 was amplified in the first three quarters of the year by changes in foreign currencies (primarily Canada) relative to the U.S. dollar as indicated earlier.

END MARKET PERFORMANCE:

Fluctuations in end market business — The sequential trends noted above were directly linked to fluctuations in our end markets. To place this in perspective — approximately 50% of our business has historically been with customers engaged in some type of manufacturing. The daily sales to these customers grew in the first, second, third, and fourth quarters (when compared to the same quarter in the previous year), and for the year, as follows:

 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual

2012

20.3%

15.8%

14.0%

9.7%

14.9%

2011

15.5%

18.5%

18.3%

21.0%

20.0%

2010

15.7%

29.8%

30.6%

17.7%

22.4%

Our manufacturing business consists of two subsets: the industrial production business (this is business where we supply products that become part of the finished goods produced by our customers) and the maintenance portion (this is business where we supply products that maintain the facility or the equipment of our customers engaged in manufacturing). The industrial business is more fastener centered, while the maintenance portion is represented by all product categories. 

In the second, third, and fourth quarters of 2012, the decrease in the rate of growth was more pronounced in our industrial production business. This is in sharp contrast to the first quarter of 2012 where the growth was more pronounced in the industrial production business, a trend that had also existed in 2011 and 2010. The first quarter and prior quarters were a direct counter to the 2009 contraction, which was more severe in our industrial production business and less severe in the maintenance portion of our manufacturing business.  

The best way to understand the change in our industrial production business is to examine the results in our fastener product line. In the first three months of 2012, the daily sales growth in our fastener product line was approximately 15.4%. This growth dropped to 10.5%, 6.1%, and 8.6% in April, May, and June, respectively, and then averaged 6.0% and 2.6% in the third and fourth quarters, respectively. By contrast, the best way to understand the change in the maintenance portion of the manufacturing business is to examine the results in our non-fastener product lines. In the first three months of 2012, the daily sales growth in our non-fastener business was approximately 25.1%. This dropped to 24.4%, 19.0%, and 19.6% in April, May, and June, respectively, and averaged 18.0% and 13.6% in the third and fourth quarters, respectively. The non-fastener business has demonstrated relative resilience in 2012, when compared to our fastener business and to the distribution industry in general, due to our strong FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending) program; this is discussed in greater detail later in this document.

The patterns related to the industrial production business, as noted above, are influenced by the movements noted in the Purchasing Manufacturers Index ('PMI') published by the Institute for Supply Management (http://www.ism.ws/), which is a composite index of economic activity in the United States manufacturing sector. The PMI in 2012, 2011, and 2010 was as follows:

 

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

2012

54.1

52.4

53.4

54.8

53.5

49.7

49.8

49.6

51.5

51.7

49.5

50.7

2011

59.9

59.8

59.7

59.7

54.2

55.8

51.4

52.5

52.5

51.8

52.2

53.1

2010

56.7

55.8

59.3

59.0

58.8

56.0

55.7

57.4

56.4

57.0

58.0

57.3

For background to readers not familiar with the PMI index, it is a monthly indicator of the economic health of the manufacturing sector. Five major indicators that influence the PMI index are new orders, inventory levels, productions, supplier deliveries, and the employment environment. When a PMI of 50 or higher is reported, this indicates expansion in the manufacturing industry compared to the previous month. If the PMI is below 50, this represents a contraction in the manufacturing sector.

Our non-residential construction customers have historically represented 20% to 25% of our business. The daily sales to these customers grew or contracted in the first, second, third, and fourth quarters (when compared to the same quarter in the previous year), and for the year, as follows:

 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual

2012

17.1%

12.7%

8.2%

4.2%

10.3%

2011

17.7%

15.8%

15.8%

17.4%

17.1%

2010

-14.7%

0.5%

6.3%

10.3%

-0.3%

We believe the weakness in the economy in the fourth quarter of 2012, particularly in the non-residential construction market, was amplified by the political uncertainty in the United States.

A graph of the sequential daily sales trends to these two end markets in 2012, 2011, and 2010, starting with a base of '100' in the previous October and ending with the next October, would be as follows: http://media.globenewswire.com/cache/11647/file/17611.pdf

GROWTH DRIVERS OF OUR BUSINESS

We grow by continuously adding customers and by increasing the activity with each customer. We believe this growth is enhanced by our close proximity to our customers, which allows us to provide a range of services and product availability that our competitors can't easily match. Historically, we expanded our reach by opening stores at a very fast pace. These openings were initially in the United States, but expanded beyond the United States beginning in the mid 1990's. 

In our first ten years of being public (1987 to 1997), we opened stores at a rate approaching 30% per year.  In the next ten years, we opened stores at an annual rate of approximately 10% to 15% and, over the last five years, at a rate of approximately 3% to 8% (we currently expect to open approximately 65 to 80 stores in 2013, or approximately 2.5% to 3.0%). As we gained proximity to more customers, we continued to diversify our growth drivers. This was done to provide existing store personnel with more tools to grow their business organically, and the results of this are reflected in our earlier discussion on sales growth at stores opened greater than five years. In the early 1990's, we began to expand our product lines, and we added new product knowledge to our bench. This was our first big effort to diversify our growth drivers. The next step began in the mid to late 1990's when we began to add sales personnel with certain specialties or focus. This began with our National Accounts group in 1995, and, over time, has expanded to include individuals dedicated to: (1) sales related to our internal manufacturing division, (2) government sales, (3) internet sales, (4) specific products (most recently metal working), and (5) FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending). Another step occurred at our sales locations (this includes Fastenal stores as well as strategic account stores and in-plant locations) and at our distribution centers, and began with a targeted merchandising and inventory placement strategy that included our 'Customer Service Project' approximately ten years ago and our 'Master Stocking Hub' initiative approximately five years ago. This strategy allowed us to better target where to stock certain products (local store, regional distribution center, master stocking hub, or supplier) and allowed us to improve our fulfillment, lower our freight costs, and improve our ability to serve a broader range of customers.

Our FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending) operation is a rapidly expanding component of our business. We believe industrial vending is the next logical chapter in the Fastenal story; we also believe it has the potential to be transformative to industrial distribution, and that we have a 'first mover' advantage. We are investing aggressively to maximize this advantage. At our investor day in May 2011, we discussed our progress with industrial vending. In addition to our discussion regarding progress, we discussed our goals with the rollout of the industrial vending machines. One of the goals we identified related to our rate of 'machine signings' (the first category below) — our goal was simple, sign 2,500+ machines per quarter (or an annualized run rate of 10,000 machines). In 2012, we hit our annual goal of 10,000 machines during July, and the momentum has continued as we finished the year. We intend to continue our aggressive push with FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending) and, to this end, have established an internal goal to sign 30,000 machines in 2013, or 2,500 per month rather than per quarter. This is an aggressive goal, but we believe we can hit this run rate during 2013. In addition, during 2012 we developed plans to (1) reinvigorate our fastener growth and to (2) improve the performance (i.e. sales growth) at under-performing locations. These plans centered on expanding our sales team for industrial production business, improving our delivery systems for other fastener business, and expanding the team that supports under-performing stores and districts. 

The following table includes some statistics regarding our industrial vending business (note - we added the third category of information this quarter to highlight the mix change in the machines deployed as our business expands beyond the flagship FAST 5000 machine):

 

 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual

Number of vending machines in 

2012

4,568

4,669

5,334

5,591

20,162

 contracts signed during the period1

2011

1,405

2,107

2,246

2,084

7,842

 

2010

257

420

440

792

1,909

Cumulative machines installed2

2012

9,798

13,036

17,013

21,095

 

 

2011

2,659

3,867

5,642

7,453

 

 

2010

892

1,184

1,515

1,925

 

Percent of installed machines that are a FAST 5000

2012

69.7%

65.9%

60.6%

58.0%

 

 (our most common helix vending machine)

2011

82.6%

77.5%

75.0%

72.5%

 

 

2010

99.5%

97.3%

92.4%

87.8%

 

Percent of total net sales to 

2012

17.8%

20.8%

23.2%

25.8%

 

 customers with vending machines3

2011

8.9%

10.5%

13.1%

15.7%

 

 

2010

3.4%

4.6%

6.1%

7.5%

 

Daily sales growth to customers

2012

33.9%

34.3%

32.9%

28.6%

 

 with vending machines4

2011

50.6%

43.9%

42.5%

40.7%

 

 

2010

37.4%

54.0%

56.4%

60.2%

 

  1 This represents the gross number of machines signed during the quarter, not the number of contracts.

  2 This represents the number of machines installed and dispensing product on the last day of the quarter.

  3 The percentage of total sales (vended and traditional) to customers currently using a vending solution.

  4 The growth in total sales (vended and traditional) to customers currently using a vending solution compared to the comparable period in the preceding year.

PROFIT DRIVERS OF OUR BUSINESS

We grow our profits by continuously working to grow sales and to improve our relative profitability. We also grow our profits by allowing our inherent profitability to shine through — we refer to this as the 'pathway to profit'. The distinction is important. 

We achieve improvements in our relative profitability by increasing our gross margin, by structurally lowering our operating expenses, or both. We advance on the 'pathway to profit' by increasing the average store size (measured in terms of monthly sales), and by allowing the changing store mix to improve our profits. This is best explained by comparing the varying profitability of our 'traditional' stores in the table below. The average store size for the group, and the average age, number of stores, and pre-tax earnings data by store size for the fourth quarter of 2012, 2011, and 2010, respectively, were as follows:

 

Sales per Month

Average
Age
(Years)

Number of
Stores

Percentage
of Stores

Pre-Tax
Earnings
Percentage

Three months ended December 31, 2012

Average store sales = $83,098

$0 to $30,000

4.7

304

11.5%

-14.4%

$30,001 to $60,000

7.6

830

31.3%

12.2%

$60,001 to $100,000

10.0

759

28.6%

21.3%

$100,001 to $150,000

12.9

375

14.1%

26.0%

Over $150,000

14.9

272

10.3%

28.8%

Strategic Account/Overseas Store

 

112

4.2%

 

Company Total

 

2,652

100.0%

20.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Three months ended December 31, 2011

Average store sales = $78,781

$0 to $30,000

3.8

353

13.7%

-13.7%

$30,001 to $60,000

7.2

882

34.1%

11.7%

$60,001 to $100,000

9.4

680

26.3%

21.3%

$100,001 to $150,000

12.0

352

13.6%

25.9%

Over $150,000

15.1

227

8.8%

27.4%

Strategic Account/Overseas Store

 

91

3.5%

 

Company Total

 

2,585

100.0%

20.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Three months ended December 31, 2010

Average store sales = $67,643

$0 to $30,000

3.8

462

18.6%

-13.2%

$30,001 to $60,000

6.8

952

38.2%

12.7%

$60,001 to $100,000

9.7

573

23.0%

22.0%

$100,001 to $150,000

12.2

276

11.1%

25.2%

Over $150,000

15.2

152

6.1%

27.1%

Strategic Account/Overseas Store

 

75

3.0%

 

Company Total

 

2,490

100.0%

18.7%

Note — Amounts may not foot due to rounding difference.

When we originally announced the 'pathway to profit' strategy in 2007, our goal was to increase our pre-tax earnings, as a percentage of sales, from 18% to 23%. This goal was to be accomplished by slowly moving the mix from the first three categories ($0 to $30,000, $30,001 to $60,000, and $60,001 to $100,000, these groups represented 76.5% of our store base in the first three months of 2007, the last quarter before we announced the 'pathway to profit') to the last three categories ($60,001 to $100,000, $100,001 to $150,000, and over $150,000, these groups represented 53.0% of our store base in the fourth quarter of 2012) and by increasing the average store sales to approximately $125,000 per month. The weak economic environment in 2009 caused our average store size to decrease, and consequently lowered our level of profitability; however, subsequent to 2009 we improved our gross margin and structurally lowered our operating expenses. This improvement allowed us to amplify the 'pathway to profit' and effectively lowered the average store size required to hit our 23% goal. Today we believe we can accomplish our 'pathway to profit' goal with average store sales of approximately $100,000 to $110,000 per month. In the second quarter of 2012, we achieved a pre-tax earnings percentage of 22.2% with average store sales of $89,169 per month.

Note — Dollar amounts in this section are presented in whole dollars, not thousands.

Store Count and Full-Time Equivalent (FTE) Headcount — The table that follows highlights certain impacts on our business of the 'pathway to profit' since its introduction in 2007.  Under the 'pathway to profit' we increased both our store count and our store FTE headcount during 2007 and 2008. However, the rate of increase in store locations slowed and our FTE headcount for all types of personnel was reduced when the economy weakened late in 2008. In the table that follows, we refer to our 'store' net sales, locations, and personnel. When we discuss 'store' net sales, locations, and personnel, we are referring to (1) 'Fastenal' stores and (2) strategic account stores. 'Fastenal' stores are either a 'traditional' store, the typical format in the United States or Canada, or an 'overseas' store, which is the typical format outside the United States and Canada. This is discussed in greater detail in our 2011 annual report on Form 10-K. Strategic account stores are stores that are focused on selling to a group of large customers in a limited geographic market. The sales, outside of our 'store' group, relate to either (1) our in-plant locations, (2) the portion of our internally manufactured product that is sold directly to a customer and not through a store (including our Holo-Krome business acquired in December 2009), or (3) our direct import business. 

The breakdown of our sales, the average monthly sales per store, the number of stores at quarter end, the average headcount at our stores during a quarter, the average FTE headcount during a quarter, and the percentage change were as follows for the first quarter of 2007 (the last completed quarter before we began the 'pathway to profit'), for the third quarter of 2008 (our peak quarter before the economy weakened), and for each of the last five quarters:

 

Q1 2007

Q3 2008

Q4 2011

Q1 2012

Q2 2012

Q3 2012

Q4 2012

Total net sales reported

$ 489,157

$ 625,037

$ 697,804

$ 768,875

$ 804,890

$ 802,577

$ 757,235

Less: Non-store sales (approximate)

40,891

57,267

86,737

92,459

98,735

100,124

95,951

Store net sales (approximate)

$ 448,266

$ 567,770

$ 611,067

$ 676,416

$ 706,155

$ 702,453

$ 661,284

% change since Q1 2007

 

26.7%

36.3%

50.9%

57.5%

56.7%

47.5%

% change (twelve months)

 

17.5%

21.0%

20.2%

14.6%

10.1%

8.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Percentage of sales through a store

92%

91%

88%

88%

88%

88%

87%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average monthly sales per store

$ 72

$ 82

$ 79

$ 86

$ 89

$ 88

$ 83

 (using ending store count)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% change since Q1 2007

 

13.9%

9.7%

19.4%

23.6%

22.2%

15.3%

% change (twelve months)

 

9.3%

16.2%

16.2%

11.3%

6.0%

5.1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Q1 2007

 Q3 2008

 Q4 2011

 Q1 2012

 Q2 2012

 Q3 2012

 Q4 2012

Store locations - quarter end count

2,073

2,300

2,585

2,611

2,635

2,650

2,652

% change since Q1 2007

 

11.0%

24.7%

26.0%

27.1%

27.8%

27.9%

% change (twelve months)

 

7.2%

3.8%

3.5%

3.0%

3.3%

2.6%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Store personnel - absolute headcount

6,849

9,123

10,328

10,486

10,637

10,604

10,347

% change since Q1 2007

 

33.2%

50.8%

53.1%

55.3%

54.8%

51.1%

% change (twelve months)

 

17.9%

14.1%

12.2%

9.3%

5.4%

0.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Store personnel - FTE

6,383

8,280

8,684

8,900

9,126

9,244

9,035

Non-store selling personnel - FTE

616

599

953

998

1,054

1,066

1,070

Sub-total of all sales personnel - FTE

6,999

8,879

9,637

9,898

10,180

10,310

10,105

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Distribution personnel-FTE

1,646

1,904

1,820

1,815

1,881

1,887

1,872

Manufacturing personnel - FTE 1

316

340

516

527

545

544

544

Administrative personnel-FTE

767

805

796

796

794

808

811

Sub-total of non-sales personnel - FTE

2,729

3,049

3,132

3,138

3,220

3,239

3,227

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total - average FTE headcount

9,728

11,928

12,769

13,036

13,400

13,549

13,332

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% change since Q1 2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Store personnel - FTE

 

29.7%

36.0%

39.4%

43.0%

44.8%

41.5%

 

Non-store selling personnel - FTE

 

-2.8%

54.7%

62.0%

71.1%

73.1%

73.7%

 

Sub-total of all sales personnel - FTE

 

26.9%

37.7%

41.4%

45.4%

47.3%

44.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Distribution personnel-FTE

 

15.7%

10.6%

10.3%

14.3%

14.6%

13.7%

 

Manufacturing personnel-FTE 1

 

7.6%

63.3%

66.8%

72.5%

72.2%

72.2%

 

Administrative personnel-FTE

 

5.0%

3.8%

3.8%

3.5%

5.3%

5.7%

 

Sub-total of non-sales personnel - FTE

 

11.7%

14.8%

15.0%

18.0%

18.7%

18.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total - average FTE headcount

22.6%

31.3%

34.0%

37.7%

39.3%

37.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% change (twelve months)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Store personnel - FTE

 

15.2%

14.1%

13.7%

10.6%

7.1%

4.0%

 

Non-store selling personnel - FTE

 

-2.4%

33.8%

28.1%

24.0%

15.9%

12.3%

 

Sub-total of all sales personnel - FTE

 

13.8%

15.8%

15.0%

11.8%

8.0%

4.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Distribution personnel-FTE

 

6.0%

14.1%

12.9%

7.1%

3.1%

2.9%

 

Manufacturing personnel - FTE 1

 

1.8%

16.2%

14.3%

10.8%

6.0%

5.4%

 

Administrative personnel - FTE

 

7.9%

7.0%

4.7%

1.4%

-0.4%

1.9%

 

Sub-total of non-sales personnel - FTE

 

6.0%

12.5%

10.9%

6.2%

2.7%

3.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total - average FTE headcount

11.7%

15.0%

14.0%

10.4%

6.7%

4.4%

 

1 The distribution and manufacturing headcount was impacted by the addition of 92 employees with the acquisition of Holo-Krome in December 2009.

STATEMENT OF EARNINGS INFORMATION (percentage of net sales) for the periods ended December 31:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Twelve-month period

 

 

2012

2011

2010

 

Net sales

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

 

Gross profit

51.5%

51.8%

51.8%

 

Operating and administrative expenses

30.0%

31.1%

32.8%

 

(Gain) loss on sale of property and equipment

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

 

Operating income

21.5%

20.8%

19.0%

 

Interest income

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

 

Earnings before income taxes

21.5%

20.8%

19.0%

 

Note — Amounts may not foot due to rounding difference.

 

 

 

 

Gross profit — percentage for 2012 decreased from 2011, but stabilized in the second, third, and fourth quarters of 2012.

The gross profit percentage in the first, second, third, and fourth quarters was as follows:

 

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

2012

51.3%

51.6%

51.6%

51.6%

2011

52.0%

52.2%

51.9%

51.2%

2010

51.1%

52.1%

51.8%

52.0%

The fluctuations in our gross profit percentages are typically driven by changes in: (1) transactional gross profit, (2) organizational gross profit, and (3) vendor incentive gross profit. The transactional gross profit represents the gross profit realized from the day-to-day fluctuations in customer pricing relative to product and freight costs. The organizational gross profit represents the component of gross profit we attribute to buying scale and efficiency gains. The third component relates to vendor volume allowances. In the short-term, periods of inflation or deflation can influence the first two categories, while sudden changes in business volume can influence the third.

We believe a normal gross profit percentage range for our business is 51% to 53%. This is based on our current mix of products, geographies, end markets, and end market uses (such as industrial production business versus maintenance business). Our business operated below our expected gross profit range at the end of 2009, and expanded into the low end of this range during 2010. In the second quarter of 2010, we moved into the middle of the range as the three components of gross profit improved, the contribution being split fairly evenly between the three components. We remained in the middle of the range until the fourth quarter of 2011. In the fourth quarter of 2011, our gross margin felt pressure and dropped to the lower end of the range. This drop was primarily due to changes in our transactional margin (primarily due to changes in product and customer mix), lower vendor incentive gross profit, and lower freight utilization. The latter two items created half of the gross margin drop and are more of a seasonal issue. In the first quarter of 2012, our gross margin improved nominally over the previous quarter. This was primarily caused by the seasonal improvement of vendor volume allowances as rising fuel prices offset our improvements in freight utilization. In the second, third, and fourth quarters of 2012, our gross margin improved when compared to the first quarter. Most of this improvement related to improvements in our transactional gross margin. The improvement was partially offset by the weakening of our selling prices in certain foreign markets due to changes in the exchange rate. One item of note, in the fourth quarter of 2012, we experienced a drop off in the freight component of our gross margin due to lower freight utilization, a typical pattern due to the seasonal drop off in business; this gross margin decline was offset by an improvement in the remaining portion of our transactional gross margin that centers on product gross margin.

Operating and administrative expenses - improved relative to sales in both 2012 as a whole and the fourth quarter of 2012 versus 2011 as a whole and the fourth quarter of 2011. 

Historically, our two largest components of operating and administrative expenses have consisted of employee related expenses (approximately 65% to 70%) and occupancy related expenses (approximately 15% to 20%). The remaining expenses cover a variety of items with selling transportation typically being the largest.

The three largest components of operating and administrative expenses grew as follows for the periods ended December 31 (compared to the comparable periods in the preceding year):

 

Twelve-month period

 

2012

2011

2010

Employee related expenses

10.1%

19.7%

14.6%

Occupancy related expenses

4.8%

7.4%

5.7%

Selling transportation costs

10.1%

26.5%

-0.2%

Employee related expenses include: (1) payroll (which includes cash compensation, stock option expense, and profit sharing), (2) health care, (3) personnel development, and (4) social taxes. The increase in 2012 was driven by the following factors: (1) average employee headcount, measured on a full-time equivalent basis, grew 8.7%, (2) sales commissions grew, (3) bonus amounts related to our growth drivers grew (this includes items such as industrial vending bonuses and manager minimum pay adjustments), and (4) our profit sharing contribution grew. The increase in 2011 was driven by the following factors: (1) employee headcount, measured on a full-time equivalent basis, grew 15.0%, (2) sales commissions grew (this increase was amplified by stronger sales growth relative to 2010, which had a meaningful impact on the commission earned, and higher gross profit margins), (3) total bonuses earned increased due to our profit growth, (4) hours worked per employee grew, and (5) our profit sharing contribution grew.

Occupancy related expenses include: (1) building rent and depreciation, (2) building utility costs, (3) equipment related to our stores and distribution locations, and (4) FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending) equipment (we consider the vending equipment to be a logical extension of our store operation and classify the expense as occupancy). The increase in 2012 was driven by (1) a dramatic increase in the amount of FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending) equipment as discussed earlier in this document, (2) an increase in the number of locations, and (3) increased investment in our distribution infrastructure over the last several years. Almost all of our occupancy increase in 2012 related to item (4) a dramatic increase in the amount of FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending) equipment, as our energy savings offset most of the increase relating to items (1) and (3). The energy savings were driven by our efforts to lower energy consumption, a mild winter, and a drop in natural gas prices during the heating season. The increase in 2011 was driven by the same factors noted above with one exception; in 2011 approximately 50% of the increase was due to rising utility costs.

Our selling transportation costs consist primarily of our store fleet as most of the distribution fleet costs are included in the cost of sales. Selling transportation costs included in operating and administrative expenses increased in 2012; however, they increased at a rate less than sales growth. The increase in 2012 was primarily due to elevated fuel prices in the first quarter, and, in the case of the first, second, and third quarters, the impact of the 2011 expansion of our fleet related to additions to our non-store sales personnel, particularly our industrial vending vehicles. The increase in 2011 was primarily related to the increase in per gallon fuel costs discussed below and the expansion of our fleet related to additions to our non-store sales personnel, particularly our industrial vending vehicles. Our selling and transportation costs in the fourth quarter of 2012 were comparable to those in the fourth quarter of 2011 because the per gallon fuel costs only grew nominally and the number of our industrial vending vehicles had normalized. Conversely, the increase in the fourth quarter of 2011 from the fourth quarter of 2010 was driven by the dramatic increase in per gallon fuel costs and the ramp up in the number of our industrial vending vehicles. 

The last several years have seen meaningful swings in the cost of diesel fuel and gasoline — During the first, second, third, and fourth quarters of 2012, our total vehicle fuel costs were approximately $10.6, $10.8, $10.8, and $10.3 million, respectively. During the first, second, third, and fourth quarters of 2011, our total vehicle fuel costs were approximately $8.6, $10.5, $9.8, and $9.8 million, respectively. The changes resulted from variations in fuel costs, variations in the service levels provided to our stores from our distribution centers, changes in the number of vehicles at our store locations, and changes in the number of other sales centered vehicles as a result of store openings and the expansion of our non-store sales force. These fuel costs include the fuel utilized in our distribution vehicles (semi-tractors, straight trucks, and sprinter trucks) which is recorded in cost of sales and the fuel utilized in our store delivery and other sales centered vehicles which is included in operating and administrative expenses (the split in the last several years has been approximately 50:50 between distribution and store and other sales centered use). 

The average per gallon fuel costs (in actual dollars) and the percentage change (on a year-over-year basis) for the last three years was as follows:

 
Per gallon average price


Q1


Q2


Q3


Q4

Annual
Average1

2012 price

 

 

 

 

 

Diesel fuel

 $ 3.92

3.98

3.88

4.05

3.96

Gasoline

 $ 3.53

3.73

3.61

3.53

3.60

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011 price

 

 

 

 

 

Diesel fuel

 $ 3.60

4.04

3.90

3.87

3.85

Gasoline

 $ 3.22

3.78

3.62

3.37

3.50

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010 price

 

 

 

 

 

Diesel fuel

 $ 2.89

3.06

2.96

3.14

3.01

Gasoline

 $ 2.68

2.80

2.71

2.84

2.76

 

 

 

 

 

 

Per gallon price change

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual1

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012 change

 

 

 

 

 

Diesel fuel

8.9%

-1.5%

-0.5%

4.7%

2.9%

Gasoline

9.6%

-1.3%

-0.3%

4.7%

2.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011 change

 

 

 

 

 

Diesel fuel

24.6%

32.0%

31.8%

23.2%

27.9%

Gasoline

20.1%

35.0%

33.6%

18.7%

26.8%

1 Average of the four quarterly figures contained in the table.

Income taxes — Incomes taxes, as a percentage of earnings before income taxes, were approximately 37.6% and 37.8% for 2012 and 2011, respectively.  As our international business and profits grow over time, the lower income tax rates in those jurisdictions, relative to the United States, have begun to lower our effective tax rate. 

OPERATIONAL WORKING CAPITAL:

The year-over-year comparison and the related dollar and percentage changes related to accounts receivable and inventories were as follows:

 

Balance at December 31:

Twelve Month Dollar Change

Twelve Month Percentage Change

 

2012

2011

2010

2012

2011

2012

2011

Accounts receivable, net

 $ 372,159

338,594

270,133

33,565

68,461

9.9%

25.3%

Inventories

 $ 715,383

646,152

557,369

69,231

88,783

10.7%

15.9%

Operational working capital1

 $ 1,087,542

984,746

827,502

102,796

157,244

10.4%

19.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales in last two months

 $ 468,696

451,069

370,582

17,627

80,487

3.9%

21.7%

The growth in accounts receivable noted above was driven by our sales growth in the final two months of the period. The strong growth in recent years with our international business and with large customer accounts has created some difficulty with managing the growth of accounts receivable relative to the growth in sales. This was exaggerated by the short month in December 2012 versus 2011 (19 business days versus 21 days) and due to a drop off in payment activity due to Christmas Day and New Year's Day falling on a Tuesday resulting in a number of our customers being shut down for the last full week of December. We saw a similar short month impact in September 2012. Also as indicated above, our sales in the last two months of the year grew from 2011 to 2012 by 3.9%; however, our daily sales growth in the last two months of 2012 was 9.1% which resulted in increased year end receivables. 

Our growth in inventory balances over time does not have as direct a relationship to our monthly sales patterns as does our growth in accounts receivable. This is impacted by other aspects of our business. For example, the dramatic economic slowdown in late 2008 and early 2009 caused our inventory to spike. This occurred because the lead time for inventory procurement is typically longer than the visibility we have into future monthly sales patterns. Over the last decade, we increased our relative inventory levels due to the following: (1) new store openings, (2) expanded stocking breadth at individual stores, (3) expanded stocking breadth at our distributions centers (for example, our master stocking hub in Indianapolis expanded its product breadth over six fold from 2005 to 2011), (4) expanded direct sourcing, (5) expanded exclusive brands (private label), and (6) expanded FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending) solutions. Items (4), (5), and (6), plus the impact of strong growth with national accounts and international expansion, created most of our inventory growth in both 2012 and 2011.

1 For purposes of this discussion, we are defining operational working capital as accounts receivable, net and inventories.

BALANCE SHEET AND CASH FLOW:

Our balance sheet continues to be very strong and our operations have good cash generating characteristics. During the fourth quarter of 2012, we generated $107,196 (or 108.6% of net earnings) of operating cash flow. During all of 2012, we generated $396,292 (or 94.2% of net earnings) of operating cash flow.  Our first quarter typically has stronger cash flow characteristics due to the timing of tax payments; this benefit reverses itself in the second, third, and fourth quarters as income tax payments go out in April, June, September, and December. The remaining amounts of cash flow from operating activities are largely linked to the pure dynamics of a distribution business and its strong correlation to working capital as discussed above.

Our strong free cash flow (operating cash flow less net capital expenditures) during 2012 and 2011 allowed us to increase our regular dividends, which we began paying quarterly in 2011. Our dividends (per share basis) were as follows in 2012 and 2011:

 

 2012

2011

First quarter

 $ 0.17

0.25

Second quarter

 $ 0.17

0.13

Third quarter

 $ 0.19

0.13

Fourth quarter

 $ 0.21

0.14

Supplemental

 $ 0.50

0.00

Total

 $ 1.24

0.65

We paid a supplemental dividend late in 2012 due to uncertainties surrounding possible changes in the taxation of dividends. We had previously paid supplemental dividends in 2010 and 2008. We expect to pay a smaller quarterly dividend in the initial quarters of 2013 due to the large payout in late 2012. Our board intends to reassess our dividend payments each quarter as we progress through 2013 with the goal of returning to a quarterly dividend more in-line with the typical quarterly dividend pattern in 2012; this decision will be influenced by (1) the state of the economy, (2) the strength of our free cash flow (defined as operating cash flow less capital expenditures), (3) changes to the taxation of dividends, and (4) other factors deemed relevant by our board of directors.

STOCK REPURCHASE:

We did not purchase any stock in 2012 or 2011. We currently have authority to purchase up to 1,800,000 shares.

FUTURE CASH FLOW:

We remain optimistic about our ability to expand our FAST SolutionsSM (industrial vending), and our ability to dramatically increase the use of automation in our distribution centers. We anticipate these activities will require considerable cash in 2013; because of this, and the large dividend payout late in 2012, we established a $125,000,000 line of credit facility in December 2012 to provide additional cash flow in that month and in 2013 and 2014.

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