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"Direct" is not always a threat

By Staff -- Industrial Distribution, 9/1/2000

I recently completed a whirlwind tour of six publicly traded industrial distribution companies. "Disintermediation" continues to be a recurring theme heard from their investors.

I am surprised that the concept continues to get as much play as it does, but some investors continue to raise concerns that distributors will be squeezed out as manufacturers sell directly to customers-a.k.a. "the Dell model."

Distributors should not feel insecure about their level of "directness" relative to Dell. In fact, you may be surprised to learn that even Dell is not always so direct.

Due to customer preference, many Dell PCs are sold through traditional value-added resellers that add another "touch" to the process. In fact, some industry observers estimate that 15 to 20 percent of Dell PCs are sold through the reseller channel. Others say the percentage could be even higher.

In addition, the non-PC stuff you buy from Dell (printers, modems, surge protectors, storage media, and the like) is never touched by Dell, at all. It comes directly from Ingram Micro-a wholesale distributor!

It may be possible for some manufacturers to circumvent traditional distribution channels when they can fulfill product themselves with equal or greater efficiency. However, as "cube value" drops, the cost of fulfilling product can rise significantly as a percentage of the sale. (Cube value is a product's cost per square inch/foot. A small product with a high cost has a high cube value, while a larger product with a low cost has a low cube value.)

Also, physical product movement is obviously not the whole ballgame. Manufacturers and customers rely on distribution channels for sales generation, technical support, credit, multi-vendor solutions, single point of contact, and other important services.

Be direct? It makes for good advertising copy, but in the real world, indirect is often the best way to go.

David J. Manthey, CFA, is a research analyst with R.W. Baird & Co., Milwaukee, Wis. He provides an analysis of publicly traded distribution companies each month for Industrial Distribution.

Manthey can be reached at (414) 765-3774 or e-mailed at dmanthey@ rwbaird.com.

DISTRIBUTORS

Company

8/14 close

Year change

52 wk. High

52 wk. Low

Applied Industrial Tech APZ

$17.81

7.1%

$18.31

$14.31

Airgas ARG

6.19

-34.9%

14.00

4.63

Barnes Group B

19.63

20.3%

23.69

12.00

DXP Enterprises DXPE

1.17

-51.9%

8.13

0.25

Fastenal FAST

65.75

46.3%

73.31

34.00

Genuine Parts Co. GPC

21.81

-12.1%

29.88

19.94

Grainger (W W) GWW

33.25

-30.5%

56.88

28.50

Hughes Supply HUG

20.13

-6.7%

28.38

14.88

Industrial Distr Group IDG

2.63

-19.2%

5.00

2.25

JLK Direct Distr. JLK

6.88

-33.3%

11.69

4.50

Kaman Corp. KAMNA

13.17

2.3%

14.63

8.77

Lawson Products LAWS

25.88

11.9%

26.00

20.50

MSC Industrial Direct MSM

17.19

29.7%

23.25

7.50

Noland Co. NOLD

18.81

5.2%

20.25

12.69

Pentacon JIT

2.19

-30.0%

5.69

1.56

Premier Farnell PFP

14.69

5.9%

16.50

8.50

Questron Technology QUST

5.31

-17.5%

12.63

2.75

Sunsource SDP

4.69

10.3%

8.63

3.44

Strategic Distr. STRD

1.94

34.8%

3.41

1.13

WESCO International WCC

7.63

-14.1%

17.50

5.50

DISTRIBUTION TECHNOLOGY

Company

1/14 close

Year change

52 wk. High

52 wk. Low

Datastream Systems DSTM

$8.81

-64.1%

$47.50

$7.13

Edwards J D & Co. JDEC

21.94

-26.6%

48.31

10.25

Prophet 21 PXXI

15.88

60.8%

25.00

5.25

Sterling Commerce SE

13.88

55.8%

21.25

7.97

MANUFACTURERS

Company

1/14 close

Year change

52 wk. High

52 wk. Low

Baldor Electric BEZ

$19.19

5.9%

$20.50

$14.88

Black & Decker Corp. BDK

41.94

-19.7%

58.06

29.75

Columbus McKinnon CMCO

14.50

43.2%

21.00

9.75

Cooper Industries CBE

35.69

-11.7%

56.25

29.38

Danaher Corp. DHR

55.31

14.6%

62.50

36.44

Dana Corp. DCN

26.81

-10.4%

43.75

20.31

Emerson Electric Co. EMR

70.19

22.3%

70.38

40.50

Fairchild Corp. FA

6.63

-26.9%

10.31

4.13

Federal-Mogul Corp. FMO

11.94

-40.7%

48.50

8.94

Illinois Tool Works ITW

59.00

-12.7%

80.63

51.06

Ingersoll-Rand Co. IR

41.19

-25.2%

67.69

34.13

Kennametal KMT

25.25

-24.9%

33.88

19.13

Makita Corp. MKTAY

8.13

-5.8%

12.38

7.75

Milacron MZ

15.31

-0.4%

19.25

12.06

3M MMM

95.81

-2.1%

103.81

78.19

Parker-Hannifin Corp. PH

38.75

-24.5%

54.00

31.38

Pentair PNR

32.25

-16.2%

47.88

27.25

Starrett (L.S.) Co. SCX

18.06

-19.5%

25.81

16.13

Textron TXT

60.00

-21.8%

85.56

51.00

Timken Co. TKR

17.69

-13.5%

21.81

13.50


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